Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 10.021355 11.713954 13.562550 15.725814 18.181985 20.878027 24.055128
2025-12-07 7.469390 9.843851 12.706369 16.382873 20.947947 26.396231 33.353259
2025-12-14 5.596042 8.141881 11.467153 16.064303 22.180437 29.954796 40.487373
2025-12-21 4.326850 6.863679 10.414180 15.637345 22.994475 32.837197 46.817316
2025-12-28 3.744516 6.387778 10.305795 16.369487 25.310984 37.767264 56.124470
2026-01-04 3.232770 5.901154 10.071247 16.829106 27.211275 42.200997 65.015935
2026-01-11 2.743868 5.349173 9.633030 16.884806 28.461339 45.737343 72.820463
2026-01-18 2.348479 4.875634 9.235928 16.924172 29.639711 49.197285 80.688267
2026-01-25 1.953912 4.325573 8.621600 16.510920 30.022526 51.426404 86.794484
2026-02-01 1.632997 3.850734 8.062684 16.105750 30.345034 53.536084 92.794978
2026-02-08 1.337545 3.366334 7.410243 15.442670 30.141145 54.745222 97.395293
2026-02-15 1.111489 2.981096 6.885853 14.938955 30.142451 56.252899 102.521861
2026-02-22 1.011480 2.873789 6.929678 15.577991 32.358851 61.829186 115.056690
2026-03-01 0.908041 2.740751 6.909748 16.109105 34.464422 67.435753 128.137490
2026-03-08 0.754316 2.444619 6.489355 15.773037 34.894340 70.127944 136.402159
2026-03-15 0.621655 2.166821 6.058430 15.348764 35.093391 72.394535 144.037952
2026-03-22 0.574827 2.116841 6.151870 16.068429 37.633383 79.118647 160.009338
2026-03-29 0.519023 2.025600 6.128723 16.520574 39.658573 85.001597 174.780116
2026-04-05 0.452111 1.880736 5.944482 16.575360 40.849303 89.361670 186.982037
2026-04-12 0.393942 1.746886 5.764655 16.614095 42.000730 93.707479 199.384810
2026-04-19 0.328520 1.566027 5.422246 16.207423 42.129941 96.029189 208.057332
2026-04-26 0.273787 1.404476 5.101907 15.808726 42.229434 98.280570 216.697618
2026-05-03 0.221223 1.230197 4.706782 15.156287 41.673246 99.134478 222.625937